California Obesity Rate To Double by 2030, New Report Projects


The obesity rate in California are expected to increase from 23.8% in 2011 to 46.6% in 2030 if current trends continue, according to a new national report by the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation and the Trust for America's Health, the Los Angeles Times' "Booster Shots" reports.

National Findings

According to the report, every state in the U.S. is projected to have an obesity rate higher than 44% by 2030, while most states would have rates above 50% (Bardin, "Booster Shots," Los Angeles Times, 9/18).

The report found that if current obesity trends continue, the U.S. by 2030 would have:

  • Six million new cases of Type 2 diabetes;
  • Five million new cases of coronary heart disease and stroke; and
  • More than 400,000 new cases of cancer associated with obesity.

In addition, the report found that obesity-related health costs would increase by between $48 billion and $66 billion annually.

California Findings

According to the report, California currently has the 46th highest rate of obesity in the U.S.

The report found that obesity-related health costs in California are on pace to increase by more than 15.7% by 2030, which would be the 22nd highest increase in the U.S. (Colliver, San Francisco Chronicle, 9/19).

However, if California residents lost an average of 5% of their body weight, California would save nearly $82 billion and prevent about 800,000 cases of diabetes, according to the report ("Booster Shots," Los Angeles Times, 9/18).


The report recommends making several policy changes to help U.S. residents lose weight, including:

  • Improving nutrition in school lunches;
  • Making physical education a priority in schools; and
  • Increasing funding for evidence-based obesity prevention programs (O'Neill, "KPCC News," KPCC, 9/18).
Rudy LehderRivas
The difference is all of us will be paying for those who are out of shape.. in the tune of 10times in tax's..
Hatti Hamlin
Report after report has come out with the same information in it, and obesity rates continue to go up. Am I missing something? Whether they lead with Lohan or lead with America's slow suicide by diet, it doesn't make any difference. Now that we've turned obesity into a "disease" and blamed its origins on food manufacturers who lure us into unhealthy eating, restaurants that "upsize" our meals, city planners who don't provide safe sidewalks and parks to encourage walking, and too many electronic screens to which we are glued, people can just throw their hands up and say, "It's not my fault!" Do you think the typical obese person doesn't know it? Do you think they don't realize the potentially severe health consequences? Yes, it may be difficult to lose weight, but certainly not impossible, even for someone who cannot afford a gym membership. Why aren't people doing something about it?
Rudy LehderRivas
Great article but on TV news all we heard today was about Lindsay Lohan being arrested in NY! The General public will unfortunately not read this report ~ and here is the tough reality: "Over 100Million people living here in America either have been diagnosed with Diabetes or have Pre-diabetes" we have 300Million people living in America who one in three will either have or has Diabetes! The fastest growing group being Hispanics, if we look at the cost associated with treatment for un-diagnosed diabetes, Americans with Pre-diabetes and for Gestational diabetes it is over 1Trillion dollars! Rudy Rivas

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