State Officials Uncertain About Cost of Expanding Medi-Cal Under ACA


As California prepares to expand Medi-Cal coverage under the Affordable Care Act, state officials are raising questions about how much the expansion will cost, the Los Angeles Times reports. Medi-Cal is California's Medicaid program (York, Los Angeles Times, 12/25/12).

About the Medicaid Expansion

Under the federal health reform law, states have the option of expanding Medicaid coverage to individuals with incomes of up to 133% of the federal poverty level. The law's Medicaid expansion provision also will expand coverage to low-income adults who have no children.

The federal government has given states the option of offering less comprehensive benefits to new beneficiaries and making the pool smaller.

Medi-Cal currently enrolls nearly eight million beneficiaries.

If California implements the full expansion, it could offer coverage to 1.5 million more residents (California Healthline, 12/11/12).

Uncertainty About Costs

State officials are unsure how the Medicaid expansion will affect state spending because of uncertainty about:

  • How many residents will enroll in Medi-Cal when the ACA takes full effect in 2014;
  • How much it will cost to cover the new beneficiaries, since it is unclear whether the new enrollees will be more or less healthy than current beneficiaries; and
  • How much the federal government will contribute to cover the cost of the Medi-Cal expansion (Los Angeles Times, 12/25/12).

Brown Expresses Concern

Gov. Jerry Brown (D) said that although he wants California to continue expanding health insurance coverage, he also wants to ensure that the state does not foot the bill for covering millions of people who currently are uninsured.

Brown said, "My concern is that as we add one to two million new people to Medi-Cal, the federal government says they're going to pay 100% of the costs, but now suddenly if they're saying they may only pay 70% or something else." He added, "That would be a huge threat to the [state's] general fund" (York, "PolitiCal," Los Angeles Times, 12/21/12).

California already faces a $1.9 billion budget deficit for the 2013-2014 fiscal year (Los Angeles Times, 12/25/12).

Paul Rosenberger
James, You are right on target with the facts, facts that the general "low information" populace of California (which is mainly the Democratice Party members) will soon be hit in the face with. They will all be screaming that somehow this was George Bush's fault, because they have no other name given to them by the Democratic Paety to blame for unaffordable and unworkable chaos that they will find themselves trying to make work. Finally, the Democratic Obama Administration and the California Democratic administration and legislature will have to suffer the consequences of their "lies" and must take full blame for it! However, they have never taken blame for any governmental failures (huge rising debt and unpayable everywhere that they govern)so it will be very interesting on who they will blame this time for another of their huge governing failures. The ACA and the entitlements have doomed California's economy for a long, long time.
James Roache PharmD
Gov. Brown is missing some information that has been available since the inception of the ACA. While it is true the feds will pay 100% of the cost of care for the undetermined number of "new" Medi-Cal enrollees beginning January 1, 2014,the ACA also mandates that by January of 2017, the State will bear the full 100% of the cost of care for these enrollees. With these new 2 million enrollees plus the existing 8 million, by this time next year, roughly 1/3 of California's population will be enrolled in Medi-Cal. While the feds avoided the fiscal cliff by raising taxes yesterday, they did not cut entitlement programs. It would appear that Governor Brown intends on doing the same. Californian's just voted themselves a tax raise, but no decrease in entitlement spending, we are following directly in the footsteps of the feds. As more businesses move out of the state, more of this burden will be placed on those that remain. Not much promise for the business future of the Golden State anymore.

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